Russian approaches to energy security and climate change: Russian gas exports to the EU

The proposition that EU climate policy represents a threat to Russia's gas exports to the EU, and therefore to Russia's energy security, is critically examined. It is concluded that whilst the greater significance of climate-change action for Russian energy security currently lies not in Russia's own emissions reduction commitments but in those of the EU, an even greater threat to Russia's energy security is posed by the development of the EU internal gas market and challenges to Russia's participation in that market. However, the coming decades could see Russia's energy security increasingly influenced by climate-change action policies undertaken by current importers of Russian gas such as the EU, and potential importers such as China and India. The challenge for Russia will be to adapt to developments in energy security and climate-change action at the European and global levels.