A Ten-year Traffic Forecast Study for China

China is facing a dramatic changing in mobile communications. Traditional voice traffic keeps growing, while data traffic bursts in recent years. Current mobile communication networks are thus challenged by this movement. Although some predicts on traffic growth in some countries are made, China has its unique characters that deserves further study. A Ten-year traffic forecast for China is proposed in this paper, which introduces long time forecast. Key Words: mobile communications; data traffic forecast; ten-year forecast;