Volatility of Corn Futures with Markov Regime Switching GARCH Model

被引:0
|
作者
Chocholata, Michaela [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Econ Bratislava, Fac Econ Informat, Dept Operat Res & Econometr, Dolnozemska Cesta 1, Bratislava 85235, Slovakia
关键词
volatility; corn; GARCH model; regime switching; MS GARCH model;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
This paper deals with the analysis of the volatility of corn futures based on the daily values from January 3, 2018 to March 30, 2022. Both the univariate GARCH model and Markov switching GARCH (MS GARCH) model were estimated to illustrate the switching behaviour of analysed series during the period under consideration. The estimation results of GARCH model proved high volatility persistence of the corn market and the two-regime MS GARCH model enabled to capture various volatility switches during the analysed period.
引用
收藏
页码:135 / 140
页数:6
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] Improving GARCH volatility forecasts with regime-switching GARCH
    Klaassen, Franc
    [J]. EMPIRICAL ECONOMICS, 2002, 27 (02) : 363 - 394
  • [2] REGIME-SWITCHED VOLATILITY OF BRENT CRUDE OIL FUTURES WITH MARKOV-SWITCHING ARCH MODEL
    Chiu, Tien-Yu
    Shieh, Shwu-Jane
    [J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL AND APPLIED FINANCE, 2009, 12 (02) : 113 - 124
  • [3] Improving GARCH volatility forecasts with regime-switching GARCH
    Franc Klaassen
    [J]. Empirical Economics, 2002, 27 : 363 - 394
  • [4] A Multivariate Markov Regime-Switching High-Frequency-Based Volatility Model for Optimal Futures Hedging
    Lai, Yu-Sheng
    Sheu, Her-Jiun
    Lee, Hsiang-Tai
    [J]. JOURNAL OF FUTURES MARKETS, 2017, 37 (11) : 1124 - 1140
  • [5] Forecasting the Chinese crude oil futures volatility using jump intensity and Markov-regime switching model
    Wu, Hanlin
    Li, Pan
    Cao, Jiawei
    Xu, Zijian
    [J]. ENERGY ECONOMICS, 2024, 134
  • [6] A Discussion on the Innovation Distribution of Markov Regime-Switching GARCH Model
    Shi, Y.
    Ho, K-Y.
    [J]. 21ST INTERNATIONAL CONGRESS ON MODELLING AND SIMULATION (MODSIM2015), 2015, : 994 - 1000
  • [7] A Markov switching model of the conditional volatility of crude oil futures prices
    Fong, WM
    See, KH
    [J]. ENERGY ECONOMICS, 2002, 24 (01) : 71 - 95
  • [8] Global economic policy uncertainty and gold futures market volatility: Evidence from Markov regime-switching GARCH-MIDAS models
    Ma, Feng
    Lu, Xinjie
    Wang, Lu
    Chevallier, Julien
    [J]. JOURNAL OF FORECASTING, 2021, 40 (06) : 1070 - 1085
  • [9] A discussion on the innovation distribution of the Markov regime-switching GARCH model
    Shi, Yanlin
    Feng, Lingbing
    [J]. ECONOMIC MODELLING, 2016, 53 : 278 - 288
  • [10] Volatility Forecasting with Double Markov Switching GARCH Models
    Chen, Cathy W. S.
    So, Mike K. P.
    Lin, Edward M. H.
    [J]. JOURNAL OF FORECASTING, 2009, 28 (08) : 681 - 697