Glaciers and glaciation of North Island, New Zealand

Mountain glaciers are useful climatic indicators in alpine regions where instrumental climate observations are sparse. Here we review the state of understanding of past and present glaciation in North Island, New Zealand. During the last glacial, mountain glaciers descended to similar to 1200 m on both Ruapehu and Tongariro. Glacier modelling indicates that air temperatures during the Last Glacial Maximum were 5-7 degrees C lower than present. Under such conditions, favourable topoclimatic mass balance processes (e.g. snowblow, shading) may have promoted marginal glaciation in lower-elevation North Island mountain ranges. The timing and magnitude of North Island glacier changes are broadly consistent with moraine chronologies and climatic reconstructions from glaciers in the Southern Alps. As of 2016, several glaciers and multi-year snow patches persist in North Island (totalling 3.0 km(2) - a 25% reduction in area since 1988), all situated on the summit region of Ruapehu volcano. Mass balance of these glaciers is modulated by topoclimatic factors and debris cover, which may reduce rates of mass loss in the near term. However, given the proximity of the present equilibrium line altitude to the summit elevation of Ruapehu, complete loss of the present glaciers is probable under even moderate warming scenarios predicted for the coming decades.