Extreme value statistics and return intervals in long-range correlated uniform deviates

被引:23
|
作者
Moloney, N. R. [1 ]
Davidsen, J. [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Calgary, Dept Phys & Astron, Calgary, AB T2N 1N4, Canada
来源
PHYSICAL REVIEW E | 2009年 / 79卷 / 04期
关键词
convergence; probability; random processes; stochastic processes; Weibull distribution; PERSISTENCE;
D O I
10.1103/PhysRevE.79.041131
中图分类号
O35 [流体力学]; O53 [等离子体物理学];
学科分类号
070204 ; 080103 ; 080704 ;
摘要
We study extremal statistics and return intervals in stationary long-range correlated sequences for which the underlying probability density function is bounded and uniform. The extremal statistics we consider (e.g., maximum relative to minimum) are such that the reference point from which the maximum is measured is itself a random quantity. We analytically calculate the limiting distributions for independent and identically distributed random variables, and use these as a reference point for correlated cases. The distributions are different from that of the maximum itself (i.e., a Weibull distribution), reflecting the fact that the distribution of the reference point either dominates over or convolves with the distribution of the maximum. The functional form of the limiting distributions is unaffected by correlations, although the convergence is slower. We show that our findings can be directly generalized to a wide class of stochastic processes. We also analyze return interval distributions, and compare them to recent conjectures of their functional form.
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页数:9
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