Optimism and pessimism in strategic interactions under

被引:3
|
作者
Guarino, Pierfrancesco [1 ]
Ziegler, Gabriel [2 ,3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Udine, Dipartimento Sci Econom & Stat DIES, Via Francesco Tomadini 30-A, I-33100 Udine, UD, Italy
[2] Univ Edinburgh, Sch Econ, 30 Buccleuch Pl, Edinburgh EH8 9JT, Scotland
[3] Univ Pittsburgh, Dept Econ, 4700 Wesley W Posvar Hall, 230 South Bouquet St, Pittsburgh, PA 15260 USA
基金
奥地利科学基金会;
关键词
Ignorance; Optimism; pessimism; Point; Wald Rationalizability; Interactive epistemology; Wishful thinking; B?rgers dominance; EXPECTED UTILITY; BELIEFS; RATIONALIZABILITY; HIERARCHIES; AMBIGUITY; GAMES;
D O I
10.1016/j.geb.2022.10.012
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
We study players interacting under the veil of ignorance, who have-coarse-beliefs represented as subsets of opponents' actions. We analyze when these players follow max min or max max decision criteria, which we identify with pessimistic or optimistic attitudes, respectively. Explicitly formalizing these attitudes and how players reason interactively under ignorance, we characterize the behavioral implications related to common belief in these events: while optimism is related to Point Rationalizability, a new algorithm-Wald Rationalizability-captures pessimism. Our characterizations allow us to uncover novel results: (i) regarding optimism, we relate it to wishful thinking a la Yildiz (2007) and we prove that dropping the (implicit) "belief-implies-truth" assumption reverses an existence failure described therein; (ii) we shed light on the notion of rationality in ordinal games; (iii) we clarify the conceptual underpinnings behind a discontinuity in Rationalizability hinted in the analysis of Weinstein (2016).(c) 2022 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Inc. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
引用
收藏
页码:559 / 585
页数:27
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