Establishment of grey self-memory model on civil aviation air passenger transportation flux prediction

被引：0
|
作者：
Li, Yang [1 ]
Yin, Jixiang [2 ]
机构：
[1] Civil Aviat Univ China, Coll Sci, Tianjin 300300, Peoples R China
[2] Taiyuan Univ Technol, Coll Elect & Power Engn, Taiyuan, Peoples R China
来源：
PROCEEDINGS OF THE FOURTH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE OF MODELLING AND SIMULATION (ICMS2011), VOL 2 | 2011年
关键词：
Civil air transportation flux sequence; Grey differential equation; Self-memory forecasting model;
D O I：
暂无
中图分类号：
O29 [应用数学];
学科分类号：
070104 ;
摘要：
The GM (1, 1) differential equation of the civil air passenger transportation flux sequence has been obtained based on the grey system method. On this basis, the grey self-memory forecasting model has been established. This model is fitted and forecasted by a few examples. The results show that this established model, with the description of the grey differential as a driving force and taking full advantage of the value of the historical memories, has higher prediction accuracy.
引用
收藏
页码：299 / 303
页数：5
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