[1] Univ Leicester, Sch Med, Dept Hlth Sci, Ctr Biostat & Genet Epidemiol, Leicester LE1 6TP, Leics, England
[2] Univ Oxford, Ctr Stat Med, Oxford, England
[3] Univ Nottingham, Sch Community Hlth Sci, Div Primary Care, Nottingham NG7 2RD, England
[4] MRC, Inst Environm & Hlth, Leicester, Leics, England
[5] Univ London Imperial Coll Sci Technol & Med, Fac Med, Dept Epidemiol & Publ Hlth, London, England