Probability kinematics and commutativity

被引：54
|
作者：
Wagner, CG [1 ]
机构：
[1] Univ Tennessee, Dept Math, Knoxville, TN 37996 USA
来源：
PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE | 2002年 / 69卷 / 02期
关键词：
D O I：
10.1086/341053
中图分类号：
N09 [自然科学史]; B [哲学、宗教];
学科分类号：
01 ; 0101 ; 010108 ; 060207 ; 060305 ; 0712 ;
摘要：
The so-called "non-commutativity" of probability kinematics has caused much unjustified concern. When identical learning is properly represented, namely, by identical Bayes factors rather than identical posterior probabilities, then sequential probability-kinematical revisions behave just as they should. Our analysis is based on a variant of Field's reformulation of probability kinematics, divested of its (inessential) physicalist gloss.
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页码：266 / 278
页数：13
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