Impact of PV penetration level on the capacity value of South Australian wind farms

Renewable generations are growing fast and they are becoming the major generation technology in power systems. Amongst all renewables, wind and solar resources have the highest growth rate. However, fluctuation and uncertainty of these sources are the main barriers in their utilization and can affect reliability of power system. Therefore, these generators must be treated differently in adequacy studies and their reliability contribution should be evaluated. South Australia (SA) accounts for more than half of Australia's wind share and its solar capacity is rapidly increasing as well. Thus, not only the reliability benefit of wind is required to be investigated in this power system, but also the contribution of solar energy and its impacts should be analysed as well. The reliability benefit of wind and PV has been studied in the literature, but there is a need to evaluate their combined contribution in reality and investigate the influence of their correlations. Therefore, this paper evaluates the reliability contribution of wind and solar power in South Australia and the impact of solar energy on wind load carrying capability. State sampling Monte Carlo technique is utilized for reliability assessment and Fuzzy C-means clustering method is employed to create a multistep load model. (c) 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.