Reliability and validity of risk analysis

被引:97
|
作者
Aven, Terje [1 ]
Heide, Bjornar [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Stavanger, Stavanger, Norway
关键词
Scientific requirements; Reliability and validity; Risk analysis; Probability of frequency approach; Bayesian approaches; SAFETY ASSESSMENTS; PROBABILITY; RECONCILIATION;
D O I
10.1016/j.ress.2009.06.003
中图分类号
T [工业技术];
学科分类号
08 ;
摘要
In this paper we investigate to what extent risk analysis meets the scientific quality requirements of reliability and validity. We distinguish between two types of approaches within risk analysis, relative frequency-based approaches and Bayesian approaches. The former category includes both traditional statistical inference methods and the so-called probability of frequency approach. Depending on the risk analysis approach, the aim of the analysis is different, the results are presented in different ways and consequently the meaning of the concepts reliability and validity are not the same. (C) 2009 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:1862 / 1868
页数:7
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