Does Twitter Happiness Sentiment predict cryptocurrency?

被引:34
|
作者
Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr [1 ,2 ]
Mbarki, Imen [3 ]
Suleman, Muhammed Tahir [4 ]
Vo, Xuan Vinh [5 ,6 ]
Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain [2 ,7 ,8 ]
机构
[1] Massey Univ, Sch Econ & Finance, Auckland, New Zealand
[2] Univ Econ Ho Chi Minh City, Inst Business Res, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
[3] Univ Tunis, Higher Inst Management Tunis, Tunis, Tunisia
[4] Univ Otago, Dept Accounting & Finance, Dunedin, New Zealand
[5] Univ Econ Ho Chi Minh City, Inst Business Res, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
[6] Univ Econ Ho Chi Minh City, CFVG, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
[7] Montpellier Business Sch, Montpellier, France
[8] South Ural State Univ, Chelyabinsk, Russia
关键词
cryptocurrencies; linear and nonlinear Granger causality; quantile‐ on‐ quantile; Twitter Happiness Sentiment; INVESTOR SENTIMENT; UNCERTAINTY INDEXES; STOCK RETURNS; OVERREACTION; INEFFICIENCY; VOLATILITY; MODELS; MARKET;
D O I
10.1111/irfi.12339
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
We examine the predictive ability of Twitter Happiness Sentiment for six major cryptocurrencies using daily data from August 7, 2015 to December 31, 2019. At first instance, our results conclude a significant nonlinear relationship between Twitter Happiness Sentiment and cryptocurrencies. The nonlinear dependence structure is further enhanced when using the quantile-on-quantile (QQ) analysis, which indicates that high and low sentiment predicts returns of five cryptocurrencies. These findings are statistically and economically significant.
引用
收藏
页码:1529 / 1538
页数:10
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