A puzzle about belief updating

被引:0
|
作者
Martini, Carlo [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Bayreuth, D-95440 Bayreuth, Germany
关键词
Disagreement; Consensus; Epistemology of disagreement; Belief updating; Linear updating; Equal weight view; Socratic epistemology;
D O I
10.1007/s11229-012-0132-9
中图分类号
N09 [自然科学史]; B [哲学、宗教];
学科分类号
01 ; 0101 ; 010108 ; 060207 ; 060305 ; 0712 ;
摘要
In recent decades much literature has been produced on disagreement; the puzzling conclusion being that epistemic disagreement is, for the most part, either impossible (e.g. Aumann (Ann Stat 4(6):1236-1239, 1976)), or at least easily resolvable (e.g. Elga (NoA >> s 41(3):478-502, 2007)). In this paper I show that, under certain conditions, an equally puzzling result arises: that is, disagreement cannot be rationally resolved by belief updating. I suggest a solution to the puzzle which makes use of some of the principles of Hintikka's Socratic epistemology.
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收藏
页码:3149 / 3160
页数:12
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