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Cross-correlations between crude oil and agricultural commodity markets
被引:69
|作者:
Liu, Li
[1
]
机构:
[1] Nanjing Audit Univ, Sch Finance, Nanjing, Jiangsu, Peoples R China
基金:
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词:
Crude oil;
Agricultural commodity;
Cross-correlation;
Detrended cross-correlation;
LONG-RANGE DEPENDENCE;
DETRENDED FLUCTUATION ANALYSIS;
BECOMING WEAKLY EFFICIENT;
INTEREST-RATES;
STOCK MARKETS;
EMERGING MARKETS;
TERM STRUCTURE;
TIME-SERIES;
VOLATILITY;
PRICES;
D O I:
10.1016/j.physa.2013.10.021
中图分类号:
O4 [物理学];
学科分类号:
0702 ;
摘要:
In this paper, we investigate cross-correlations between crude oil and agricultural commodity markets. Based on a popular statistical test proposed by Podobnik et al. (2009), we find that the linear return cross-correlations are significant at larger lag lengths and the volatility cross-correlations are highly significant at all of the lag lengths under consideration. Using a detrended cross-correlation analysis (DCCA), we find that the return cross-correlations are persistent for corn and soybean and anti-persistent for oat and soybean. The volatility cross-correlations are strongly persistent. Using a nonlinear cross-correlation measure, our results show that cross-correlations are relatively weak but they are significant for smaller time scales. For larger time scales, the cross-correlations are not significant. The reason may be that information transmission from crude oil market to agriculture markets can complete within a certain period of time. Finally, based on multifractal extension of DCCA, we find that the cross-correlations are multifractal and high oil prices partly contribute to food crisis during the period of 2006-mid-2008. (C) 2013 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
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页码:293 / 302
页数:10
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