Chinese construction cost level forecasting based on vector auto-regression theory

被引:0
|
作者
Shang Mei [1 ]
Li Yongqing [1 ]
机构
[1] Xian Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Management, Xian, Peoples R China
关键词
construction cost level; vector auto-regression; forecast;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
Based on Vector Auto-regression theory, VAR(2) model with variables of construction cost, number of large & medium construction projects in progress, number of construction companies, unemployment rate of the town and city, amount of M2 supply and number of large & medium construction projects completed is established, based on which, the co-integration relationship among these variables is analyzed, vector error correction model is established and national construction cost is forecast.
引用
收藏
页码:525 / 529
页数:5
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] Study on Fault Forecasting based on Auto-Regression Model
    Liu, Qian-qian
    Wang, Hong-xia
    2015 IEEE ADVANCED INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY, ELECTRONIC AND AUTOMATION CONTROL CONFERENCE (IAEAC), 2015, : 1120 - 1123
  • [2] Nonlinear vector auto-regression neural network for forecasting air passenger flow
    Sun, Shaolong
    Lu, Hongxu
    Tsui, Kwok-Leung
    Wang, Shouyang
    JOURNAL OF AIR TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT, 2019, 78 : 54 - 62
  • [3] Bayesian Vector Auto-Regression Method as an Alternative Technique for Forecasting South African Tax Revenue
    Molapo, Mojalefa Aubrey
    Olaomi, John Olutunji
    Ama, Njoku Ola
    SOUTHERN AFRICAN BUSINESS REVIEW, 2019, 23
  • [4] Support Vector Auto-Regression and Neural Network for Prediction of Construction Stock Prices in Egypt
    Ramadan, Mohamed T.
    Hossny, Ossama
    Nassar, Khaled
    CONSTRUCTION RESEARCH CONGRESS 2024: ADVANCED TECHNOLOGIES, AUTOMATION, AND COMPUTER APPLICATIONS IN CONSTRUCTION, 2024, : 1288 - 1298
  • [5] Short-time traffic flow forecasting based on projection pursuit auto-regression
    Wang Xiao-yuan
    Liu Hai-hong
    Liu Zhi-ping
    ICICIC 2006: FIRST INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON INNOVATIVE COMPUTING, INFORMATION AND CONTROL, VOL 1, PROCEEDINGS, 2006, : 707 - +
  • [6] A Vector Auto-Regression Based Forecast of Wind Speeds in Airborne Wind Energy Systems
    Keyantuo, Patrick
    Dunn, Laurel N.
    Haydon, Ben
    Vermillion, Christopher
    Chow, Fotini K.
    Moura, Scott J.
    5TH IEEE CONFERENCE ON CONTROL TECHNOLOGY AND APPLICATIONS (IEEE CCTA 2021), 2021, : 69 - 75
  • [7] Bitcoin Network Mechanics: Forecasting the BTC Closing Price Using Vector Auto-Regression Models Based on Endogenous and Exogenous Feature Variables
    Ibrahim, Ahmed
    Kashef, Rasha
    Li, Menglu
    Valencia, Esteban
    Huang, Eric
    JOURNAL OF RISK AND FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT, 2020, 13 (09)
  • [8] Exploring the processes of firm growth: evidence from a vector auto-regression
    Coad, Alex
    INDUSTRIAL AND CORPORATE CHANGE, 2010, 19 (06) : 1677 - 1703
  • [9] EEG authentication system based on Auto-regression coefficients
    Hu, Jianfeng
    Mu, Zhendong
    PROCEEDINGS OF THE 10TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON INTELLIGENT SYSTEMS AND CONTROL (ISCO'16), 2016,
  • [10] Fuzzy Random Auto-Regression Time Series Model in Enrollment University Forecasting
    Efendi, Riswan
    Samsudin, Noor Azah
    Arbaiy, Nureize
    Deris, Mustafa Mat
    2017 5TH INTERNATIONAL SYMPOSIUM ON COMPUTATIONAL AND BUSINESS INTELLIGENCE (ISCBI), 2017, : 61 - 64