Modeling the influence of Twitter in reducing and increasing the spread of influenza epidemics

被引:19
|
作者
Huo, Hai-Feng [1 ]
Zhang, Xiang-Ming [1 ]
机构
[1] Lanzhou Univ Technol, Dept Appl Math, Lanzhou 730050, Peoples R China
来源
SPRINGERPLUS | 2016年 / 5卷
关键词
Positive effect and negative effect; Twitter; Basic reproductive number; Equilibria; Global stability; Hopf bifurcation; MEDIA COVERAGE; DYNAMICS; IMPACT; AGE;
D O I
10.1186/s40064-016-1689-4
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
A more realistic mathematical influenza model including dynamics of Twitter, which may reduce and increase the spread of influenza, is introduced. The basic reproductive number is derived and the stability of the steady states is proved. The existence of Hopf bifurcation are also demonstrated by analyzing the associated characteristic equation. Furthermore, numerical simulations and sensitivity analysis of relevant parameters are also carried out. Our results show that the impact posed by the negative information of Twitter is not significant than the impact posed by the positive information of Twitter on influenza while the impact posed by the negative information of Twitter on the influenza virus is still extraordinary.
引用
收藏
页码:1 / 20
页数:20
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] MODELING THE IMPACT OF TWITTER ON INFLUENZA EPIDEMICS
    Pawelek, Kasia A.
    Oeldorf-Hirsch, Anne
    Rong, Libin
    [J]. MATHEMATICAL BIOSCIENCES AND ENGINEERING, 2014, 11 (06) : 1337 - 1356
  • [2] Predicting the spread of influenza epidemics by analyzing twitter messages
    Molaei, Soheila
    Khansari, Mohammad
    Veisi, Hadi
    Salehi, Mostafa
    [J]. HEALTH AND TECHNOLOGY, 2019, 9 (04) : 517 - 532
  • [3] Predicting the spread of influenza epidemics by analyzing twitter messages
    Soheila Molaei
    Mohammad Khansari
    Hadi Veisi
    Mostafa Salehi
    [J]. Health and Technology, 2019, 9 : 517 - 532
  • [4] DIFFERENTIAL MODELING OF EPIDEMICS SPREAD
    Cherkunova, N. G.
    [J]. YAKUT MEDICAL JOURNAL, 2012, (04): : 134 - 137
  • [5] Prediction of the spread of influenza epidemics by the method of analogues
    Viboud, C
    Boëlle, PY
    Carrat, F
    Valleron, AJ
    Flahault, A
    [J]. AMERICAN JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY, 2003, 158 (10) : 996 - 1006
  • [6] Modeling the spread of annual influenza epidemics in the U.S.: The potential role of air travel
    Grais R.F.
    Ellis J.H.
    Kress A.
    Glass G.E.
    [J]. Health Care Management Science, 2004, 7 (2) : 127 - 134
  • [7] Modeling the spread of fake news on Twitter
    Murayama, Taichi
    Wakamiya, Shoko
    Aramaki, Eiji
    Kobayashi, Ryota
    [J]. PLOS ONE, 2021, 16 (04):
  • [8] MATHEMATICAL-MODELING OF INFLUENZA EPIDEMICS
    SPICER, CC
    [J]. BRITISH MEDICAL BULLETIN, 1979, 35 (01) : 23 - 28
  • [9] Modeling the influence of settlement structure on the spread of influenza among communities
    Sattenspiel, L
    Mobarry, A
    Herring, DA
    [J]. AMERICAN JOURNAL OF HUMAN BIOLOGY, 2000, 12 (06) : 736 - 748
  • [10] Modeling mitigation of influenza epidemics by baloxavir
    Zhanwei Du
    Ciara Nugent
    Alison P. Galvani
    Robert M. Krug
    Lauren Ancel Meyers
    [J]. Nature Communications, 11