Positive effect and negative effect;
Twitter;
Basic reproductive number;
Equilibria;
Global stability;
Hopf bifurcation;
MEDIA COVERAGE;
DYNAMICS;
IMPACT;
AGE;
D O I:
10.1186/s40064-016-1689-4
中图分类号:
O [数理科学和化学];
P [天文学、地球科学];
Q [生物科学];
N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号:
07 ;
0710 ;
09 ;
摘要:
A more realistic mathematical influenza model including dynamics of Twitter, which may reduce and increase the spread of influenza, is introduced. The basic reproductive number is derived and the stability of the steady states is proved. The existence of Hopf bifurcation are also demonstrated by analyzing the associated characteristic equation. Furthermore, numerical simulations and sensitivity analysis of relevant parameters are also carried out. Our results show that the impact posed by the negative information of Twitter is not significant than the impact posed by the positive information of Twitter on influenza while the impact posed by the negative information of Twitter on the influenza virus is still extraordinary.
机构:
Dept. of Geogr. and Environ. Eng., Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD
INSERM Unit 444, WHO Collaborating Ctr. Electron. D., 75571 Paris Cedex 12, Porte 808, 27, rue ChalignyDept. of Geogr. and Environ. Eng., Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD
Grais R.F.
Ellis J.H.
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机构:
Dept. of Geogr. and Environ. Eng., Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MDDept. of Geogr. and Environ. Eng., Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD
Ellis J.H.
Kress A.
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机构:
Surveillance Data Inc., Philadelphia, PADept. of Geogr. and Environ. Eng., Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD
Kress A.
Glass G.E.
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机构:
W. Harry Feinstone Dept. Molec. M., Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MDDept. of Geogr. and Environ. Eng., Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD