Evaluating long-term trends in annual and seasonal precipitation in Taiwan

被引:67
|
作者
Yu, Pao-Shan [1 ]
Yang, Tao-Chang
Kuo, Chun-Chao
机构
[1] Natl Cheng Kung Univ, Dept Hydraul & Ocean Engn, Tainan 701, Taiwan
[2] Hsing Kuo Univ, Dept Informat Management, Tainan 709, Taiwan
关键词
climate change; precipitation trend analysis; cumulative deviations; Kruskal-Wallis statistics; Mann-Whitney-Pettitt test;
D O I
10.1007/s11269-006-9020-8
中图分类号
TU [建筑科学];
学科分类号
0813 ;
摘要
This work studies long-term rainfall variations in Taiwan and provides local climate change analyses to global climate change. Around a century of rainfall data from 33 rain-gauges populate the database used herein. Statistical tests, such as cumulative deviations, Mann-Whitney-Pettitt statistics and the Kruskal-Wallis test, were first employed to determine whether annual rainfall series exhibit any regular trend. Analytical results indicate that the annual rainfall has increased in northern Taiwan, declined in central and southern Taiwan, and exhibited no clear tendency in Eastern Taiwan. Almost all of these rainfall series changed significantly around 1960, which date divides historical rainfall series into two sample groups. This change in the seasonal rainfall was further investigated.
引用
收藏
页码:1007 / 1023
页数:17
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