The timing of vegetation fire occurrence in a human landscape

被引:31
|
作者
Plucinski, M. P. [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] CSIRO, Ecosystem Sci, Climate Adaptation Flagship, Canberra, ACT 2601, Australia
[2] Bushfire Cooperat Res Ctr, Melbourne, Vic 3002, Australia
关键词
Accidental ignitions; Deliberate ignitions; Temporal analysis; Fire danger; CLIMATE-CHANGE; FUEL MOISTURE; AUSTRALIA; FOREST; DETERMINANTS; DYNAMICS; IGNITION; REGION; MODEL;
D O I
10.1016/j.firesaf.2014.05.012
中图分类号
TU [建筑科学];
学科分类号
0813 ;
摘要
Vegetation fires in urban and pen-urban (human) landscapes damage property and infrastructure, threaten lives and incur considerable suppression costs. This study investigated the timing of fires burning in vegetation within and around the city of Perth, Western Australia. The timing of fires from 16 different cause types were investigated at hourly, daily, monthly and annual scales, and using fire danger indices and fuel moisture. Ignitions from most causes were shown to have hourly and monthly profiles that reflect fire danger and fuel availability. Some causes with low heat outputs, such as cigarettes and sparks from cutting and welding, were more sensitive to fire danger and fuel availability than others. Causes related to arson and recreational activities, such as camp fires, were more likely to occur on weekends and public holidays. Arson prevention measures appear to have reduced the incidence of deliberately lit fires, and may have reduced the number of fires occurring on days of total fire ban, although these days have much higher rates of ignition than other days. High profile fire events also increase public awareness and reduce ignition rates. Lessons learned from analyses of fire occurrence can help fire agencies more effectively apply prevention and mitigation programs. (C) 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:42 / 52
页数:11
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