Shortwave forcing and feedbacks in Last Glacial Maximum and Mid-Holocene PMIP3 simulations

被引:28
|
作者
Braconnot, Pascale [1 ]
Kageyama, Masa [1 ]
机构
[1] Orme Merisiers, Lab Siences Climat & Environm, Bat 712, F-91191 Gif Sur Yvette, France
关键词
Last Glacial Maximum and Mid-Holocene climates; ice-sheet and insolation forcing; cloud and surface albedo feedbacks; CLIMATE-CHANGE PROJECTIONS; VEGETATION FEEDBACKS; COUPLED SIMULATIONS; NORTHERN AFRICA; SYSTEM MODEL; SENSITIVITY; OCEAN; MONSOON; CMIP5; ICE;
D O I
10.1098/rsta.2014.0424
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
Simulations of the climates of the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM), 21 000 years ago, and of the Mid-Holocene (MH), 6000 years ago, allow an analysis of climate feedbacks in climate states that are radically different from today. The analyses of cloud and surface albedo feedbacks show that the shortwave cloud feedback is a major driver of differences between model results. Similar behaviours appear when comparing the LGM and MH simulated changes, highlighting the fingerprint of model physics. Even though the different feedbacks show similarities between the different climate periods, the fact that their relative strength differs from one climate to the other prevents a direct comparison of past and future climate sensitivity. The landsurface feedback also shows large disparities among models even though they all produce positive sea-ice and snow feedbacks. Models have very different sensitivities when considering the vegetation feedback. This feedback has a regional pattern that differs significantly between models and depends on their level of complexity and model biases. Analyses of the MH climate in two versions of the IPSL model provide further indication on the possibilities to assess the role of model biases and model physics on simulated climate changes using past climates for which observations can be used to assess the model results.
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页数:17
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