The impact of the US stock market opening on price discovery of government bond futures

被引:4
|
作者
Indriawan, Ivan [1 ]
Jiao, Feng [2 ]
Tse, Yiuman [3 ]
机构
[1] Auckland Univ Technol, Finance Dept, Auckland, New Zealand
[2] Univ Lethbridge, Dhillon Sch Business, 4401 Univ Dr, Lethbridge, AB T1K 3M4, Canada
[3] Univ Missouri, Finance & Legal Studies Dept, St Louis, MO 63121 USA
关键词
government bond futures; information share; price discovery; sequential markets; TRADING VOLUME; ORDER FLOW; INFORMATION; VOLATILITY; LIQUIDITY; LINKAGES; SECURITY; UK;
D O I
10.1002/fut.22015
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
We examine price discovery in sequential markets for the 10-year US Treasury note, German bund, and UK gilt futures over the period 2010-2017. We find that price discovery increases after the opening of the US stock market. Order flows in the bond futures markets are more informative for permanent price changes in the 30-min period after the US stock market opens. A placebo test using US statutory holidays confirms our findings. A cross-market analysis suggests that the increased price discovery in the bond futures is related to returns and net order flows of the US stock market.
引用
收藏
页码:779 / 802
页数:24
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] The effect of universal futures on opening and closing stock market price discovery
    Chelley-Steeley, Patricia
    Steeley, James
    [J]. STUDIES IN ECONOMICS AND FINANCE, 2011, 28 (04) : 260 - 281
  • [2] Price Discovery in the Chinese Stock Index Futures Market
    Hao, Jing
    Xiong, Xiong
    He, Feng
    Ma, Feng
    [J]. EMERGING MARKETS FINANCE AND TRADE, 2019, 55 (13) : 2982 - 2996
  • [3] Price discovery in the US stock options market
    Simaan, Yusif E.
    Wu, Liuren
    [J]. JOURNAL OF DERIVATIVES, 2007, 15 (02): : 20 - 38
  • [4] THE IMPACT OF OIL PRICE SHOCKS ON THE US STOCK MARKET
    Kilian, Lutz
    Park, Cheolbeom
    [J]. INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC REVIEW, 2009, 50 (04) : 1267 - 1287
  • [5] The Extended Opening Session of the Futures Market and Stock Price Behavior: Evidence from the Taiwan Stock Exchange
    Lee, Hsiu-Chuan
    Chien, Cheng-Yi
    Chen, Hsiang-Lan
    Huang, Yen-Sheng
    [J]. REVIEW OF PACIFIC BASIN FINANCIAL MARKETS AND POLICIES, 2009, 12 (03) : 403 - 416
  • [6] Price discovery in the treasury futures market
    Brandt, Michael W.
    Kavajecz, Kenneth A.
    Underwood, Shane E.
    [J]. JOURNAL OF FUTURES MARKETS, 2007, 27 (11) : 1021 - 1051
  • [7] Price Discovery in Index Futures Market
    Zhou, Zhou
    Wei, Zhuo
    Wang, Shouyang
    [J]. 2012 FIFTH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON BUSINESS INTELLIGENCE AND FINANCIAL ENGINEERING (BIFE), 2012, : 257 - 261
  • [8] Role of futures market in price discovery
    Sunita Arora
    Narender Kumar
    [J]. DECISION, 2013, 40 (3) : 165 - 179
  • [9] When stock futures dominate price discovery
    Aggarwal, Nidhi
    Thomas, Susan
    [J]. JOURNAL OF FUTURES MARKETS, 2019, 39 (03) : 263 - 278
  • [10] Price Discovery and Foreign Participation in Korea's Government Bond Futures and Cash Markets
    Park, Cyn-Young
    Mercado, Rogelio, Jr.
    Choi, Jaehun
    Lim, Hosung
    [J]. JOURNAL OF FUTURES MARKETS, 2017, 37 (01) : 23 - 51