Epidemiological surveillance of tick populations: A model to predict the colonization success of Ixodes ricinus (Acari:Ixodidae)

被引:5
|
作者
EstradaPena, A
机构
[1] Unidad de Parasitología, Facultad de Veterinaria, Zaragoza
[2] Unidad de Parasitología, Facultad de Veterinaria, 50013-Zaragoza, C/ Miguel Servet
关键词
colonization rate; Ixodes ricinus; predictive model;
D O I
10.1023/A:1007347811889
中图分类号
R1 [预防医学、卫生学];
学科分类号
1004 ; 120402 ;
摘要
A model that predicts the habitat availability for permanent populations of the tick Ixodes ricinus has been developed and applied to Spain. The model is based on the fuzzy logic rules and has a spatial resolution of about 4 km. Six long-term climate variables, which cover temperature and rainfall factors, drive the model by assigning the expected probability to find stable tick populations. Because the high accuracy of this inference tool, it could be used to map favourable sites for this tick in the epidemiological lookout of the Ixodes ricinus borne diseases.
引用
收藏
页码:573 / 580
页数:8
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