Persistent acceleration in global sea-level rise since the 1960s

被引:201
|
作者
Dangendorf, Soenke [1 ,2 ]
Hay, Carling [3 ]
Calafat, Francisco M. [4 ]
Marcos, Marta [5 ]
Piecuch, Christopher G. [6 ]
Berk, Kevin [7 ]
Jensen, Juergen [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Siegen, Res Inst Water & Environm, Siegen, Germany
[2] Old Dominion Univ, Dept Ocean Earth & Atmospher Sci, Norfolk, VA 23529 USA
[3] Boston Coll, Dept Earth & Environm Sci, Chestnut Hill, MA 02167 USA
[4] Natl Oceanog Ctr, Liverpool, Merseyside, England
[5] IMEDEA UIB CSIC, Esporles, Spain
[6] Woods Hole Oceanog Inst, Woods Hole, MA 02543 USA
[7] Univ Siegen, Stochastik & Quantitat Methoden Wirtschaftswissen, Siegen, Germany
关键词
MASS-LOSS; 20TH-CENTURY; VARIABILITY; RECONSTRUCTIONS; REANALYSIS; SURFACE; TRENDS; BUDGET;
D O I
10.1038/s41558-019-0531-8
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Previous studies reconstructed twentieth-century global mean sea level (GMSL) from sparse tide-gauge records to understand whether the recent high rates obtained from satellite altimetry are part of a longer-term acceleration. However, these analyses used techniques that can only accurately capture either the trend or the variability in GMSL, but not both. Here we present an improved hybrid sea-level reconstruction during 1900-2015 that combines previous techniques at time scales where they perform best. We find a persistent acceleration in GMSL since the 1960s and demonstrate that this is largely (similar to 76%) associated with sea-level changes in the Indo-Pacific and South Atlantic. We show that the initiation of the acceleration in the 1960s is tightly linked to an intensification and a basin-scale equatorward shift of Southern Hemispheric westerlies, leading to increased ocean heat uptake, and hence greater rates of GMSL rise, through changes in the circulation of the Southern Ocean.
引用
收藏
页码:705 / +
页数:8
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