Threshold dynamics of a stochastic SIS epidemic model with nonlinear incidence rate

被引:7
|
作者
Liu, Qun [1 ]
Jiang, Daqing [1 ,2 ,3 ]
Hayat, Tasawar [3 ,4 ]
Alsaedi, Ahmed [3 ]
机构
[1] Northeast Normal Univ, Sch Math & Stat, Key Lab Appl Stat, MOE, Changchun 130024, Jilin, Peoples R China
[2] King Abdulaziz Univ, Fac Sci, Dept Math, Nonlinear Anal & Appl Math Res Grp, Jeddah 121589, Saudi Arabia
[3] China Univ Petr East China, Coll Sci, Qingdao 266580, Shandong, Peoples R China
[4] Quaid I Azam Univ 45320, Dept Math, Islamabad 44000, Pakistan
关键词
Stochastic SIS epidemic model; Markov semigroups; Nonlinear incidence rate; Extinction; Stationary distribution; Threshold; LONG-TIME BEHAVIOR; MARKOV SEMIGROUPS; PERSISTENCE; EXTINCTION;
D O I
10.1016/j.physa.2019.04.182
中图分类号
O4 [物理学];
学科分类号
0702 ;
摘要
In this paper, we study a stochastic SIS epidemic model with nonlinear incidence rate. By employing the Markov semigroups theory, we verify that the reproduction number R-0 - sigma(2)Lambda(2)f(2)(Lambda/mu, 0)/2 mu(2)(mu+gamma+alpha) can be used to govern the threshold dynamics of the studied system. If R-0 - sigma(2)Lambda(2)f(2)(Lambda/mu 0)/2 mu(2)(mu+gamma+alpha) > 1, we show that there is a unique stable stationary distribution and the densities of the distributions of the solutions can converge in L-1 to an invariant density. R-0 - sigma(2)Lambda(2)f(2)(Lambda/mu 0)/2 mu(2)(mu+gamma+alpha) < 1, under mild extra conditions, we establish sufficient conditions for extinction of the epidemic. Our results show that larger white noise can lead to the extinction of the epidemic while smaller white noise can ensure the existence of a stable stationary distribution which leads to the stochastic persistence of the epidemic. (C) 2019 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
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页数:15
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