A GSADF bubble test analysis for COVID-19 pandemic

被引：0

作者：

Shin, Jiwon ^{[1
]}

Shin, Dong Wan ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Ewha Womans Univ, Dept Stat, 52 Ewhayeodae Gil, Seoul 03760, South Korea

来源：

KOREAN JOURNAL OF APPLIED STATISTICS | 2020年 / 33卷 / 05期

基金：

新加坡国家研究基金会;

关键词：

COVID-19; GSADF; Bubble test; Bubble date-stamping; EXPLOSIVE BUBBLES; RATIONAL BUBBLES; STOCK; EXUBERANCE; MARKET;

D O I：

10.5351/KJAS.2020.33.5.655

中图分类号：

O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];

学科分类号：

020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;

摘要：

We apply the GSADF bubble test and its date-stamping method for the daily number of new COVID-19 cases. The test indicates statistically significant explosive expansions of the number of new cases whose periods of panic explosion are identified by the date-stamping method of the bubble test. The date-stamping analysis reveals that as of June 30 2020, the number of daily COVID-19 new cases are still explosively increasing for India; however, they stop explosively increasing (or are under control) for USA, Brazil, Russia, Spain, Turkey, China, and South Korea. It also reveals that South Korea has two disjoint periods of explosion: a stable period follows after the first explosion of 2020.02.20-2020.03.06, and then the second explosion occurs 2020.05.27-2020.06.01 with a stable period that continues up to 2020.06.30.

引用

页码：655 / 664

页数：10

共 50 条

[1] The Covid-19 pandemic, a test for the world!
Buxeraud, Jacques
Faure, Sebastien
[J]. ACTUALITES PHARMACEUTIQUES, 2020, 59 (594): : 1 - 1
[2] Wavelet analysis of COVID-19 pandemic
Omata, Kazumi
Shimazaki, Ayumi
[J]. JOURNAL OF ADVANCED SIMULATION IN SCIENCE AND ENGINEERING, 2023, 10 (02): : 214 - 220
[3] COVID-19 pandemic: a sentiment analysis
Kumar, Ashish
Khan, Safi U.
Kalra, Ankur
[J]. EUROPEAN HEART JOURNAL, 2020, 41 (39) : 3782 - 3783
[4] The COVID-19 pandemic: a systemic analysis
Capra, Fritjof
[J]. AGRICULTURE AND HUMAN VALUES, 2020, 37 (03) : 665 - 666
[5] The COVID-19 pandemic: a systemic analysis
Fritjof Capra
[J]. Agriculture and Human Values, 2020, 37 : 665 - 666
[6] Covid-19 pandemic: a geopolitical analysis
Souza, Jose Gilberto
Guimaraes, Raul
[J]. SAUDE E SOCIEDADE, 2021, 30 (01):
[7] The COVID-19 pandemic: a stress test for clinical epidemiology
Pivetta, Emanuele
[J]. EPIDEMIOLOGIA & PREVENZIONE, 2020, 44 (5-6): : 28 - 29
[8] COVID-19 pandemic: A stress test for interventional radiology
Barral, M.
Dohan, A.
Marcelin, C.
Carteret, T.
Zurlinden, O.
Pialat, J. -B.
Kastler, A.
Cornelis, F. H.
[J]. DIAGNOSTIC AND INTERVENTIONAL IMAGING, 2020, 101 (06) : 333 - 334
[9] COVID-19 Knowledge Test: An Assessment Tool for Health Educators During the COVID-19 Pandemic
Richardson, Lindsy J.
Belanger, Jocelyn J.
[J]. FRONTIERS IN PUBLIC HEALTH, 2020, 8
[10] Bubble Trouble in COVID-19
DuBrock, Hilary M.
Krowka, Michael J.
[J]. AMERICAN JOURNAL OF RESPIRATORY AND CRITICAL CARE MEDICINE, 2020, 202 (07) : 926 - 928

← 1 2 3 4 5 →