Water availability, degree days, and the potential impact of climate change on irrigated agriculture in California

被引：128
|
作者：
Schlenker, Wolfram
Hanemann, W. Michael
Fisher, Anthony C.
机构：
[1] Columbia Univ, Dept Econ, New York, NY 10027 USA
[2] Columbia Univ, Sch Int & Publ Affairs, New York, NY 10027 USA
[3] Univ Calif Berkeley, Dept Agr & Resource Econ, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA
来源：
CLIMATIC CHANGE | 2007年 / 81卷 / 01期
关键词：
D O I：
10.1007/s10584-005-9008-z
中图分类号：
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号：
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要：
We use the geo-referenced June Agricultural Survey of the U. S. Department of Agriculture to match values of individual farms in California with a measure of water availability as mediated through irrigation districts, and degree days, a nonlinear transformation of temperature, controlling for other influences on value such as soil quality, to examine the potential effects of climate change on irrigated agriculture in California. Water availability strongly capitalizes into farmland values. The predicted decrease in water availability in the latest climate change scenarios downscaled to California can therefore be expected to have a significant negative impact on the value of farmland.
引用
收藏
页码：19 / 38
页数：20
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