Validation of 131I ecological transfer models and thyroid dose assessments using Chernobyl fallout data from the Plavsk district, Russia

被引:7
|
作者
Zvonova, I. [1 ]
Krajewski, P. [2 ]
Berkovsky, V. [3 ]
Ammann, M. [4 ]
Duffa, C. [5 ]
Filistovic, V. [6 ]
Homma, T. [7 ]
Kanyar, B. [8 ]
Nedveckaite, T. [6 ]
Simon, S. L. [9 ]
Vlasov, O. [10 ]
Webbe-Wood, D. [11 ]
机构
[1] Res Inst Radiat Hyg, St Petersburg 197101, Russia
[2] Cent Lab Radiol Protect, PL-03194 Warsaw, Poland
[3] IAEA, A-1400 Viena, Austria
[4] Radiat & Nucl Safety Author STUK, Helsinki 00881, Finland
[5] Ctr Cadarache, IRSN, F-13115 St Paul Les Durance, France
[6] Inst Phys, LT-2300 Vilnius, Lithuania
[7] JAEA, Tokai, Ibaraki 3191195, Japan
[8] Univ Pannonia, H-8200 Veszprem, Hungary
[9] NCI, Div Canc Epidemiol & Genet, NIH, Bethesda, MD 20892 USA
[10] MRRC RAMS, Obninsk 249036, Kaluga Region, Russia
[11] FSA, London WC2B 6NH, England
关键词
Chernobyl accident; Iodine-131; Environment modeling; Models validation; Population; Thyroid dose;
D O I
10.1016/j.jenvrad.2009.08.005
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Within the project "Environmental Modelling for Radiation Safety" (EMRAS) organized by the IAEA in 2003 experimental data of I-131 measurements following the Chernobyl accident in the Plavsk district of Tula region, Russia were used to validate the calculations of some radioecological transfer models. Nine models participated in the inter-comparison. Levels of Cs-137 soil contamination in all the settlements and I-131/Cs-137 isotopic ratios in the depositions in some locations were used as the main input information. 370 measurements of I-131 content in thyroid of townspeople and villagers, and 90 measurements of I-131 concentration in milk were used for validation of the model predictions. A remarkable improvement in models performance comparing with previous inter-comparison exercise was demonstrated. Predictions of the various models were within a factor of three relative to the observations, discrepancies between the estimates of average doses to thyroid produced by most participant not exceeded a factor of ten. (C) 2009 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:8 / 15
页数:8
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