Machine Learning Data Imputation and Prediction of Foraging Group Size in a Kleptoparasitic Spider

Cost-benefit analysis is widely used to elucidate the association between foraging group size and resource size. Despite advances in the development of theoretical frameworks, however, the empirical systems used for testing are hindered by the vagaries of field surveys and incomplete data. This study developed the three approaches to data imputation based on machine learning (ML) algorithms with the aim of rescuing valuable field data. Using 163 host spider webs (132 complete data and 31 incomplete data), our results indicated that the data imputation based on random forest algorithm outperformed classification and regression trees, the k-nearest neighbor, and other conventional approaches (Wilcoxon signed-rank test and correlation difference have p-value from < 0.001-0.030). We then used rescued data based on a natural system involving kleptoparasitic spiders from Taiwan and Vietnam (Argyrodes miniaceus, Theridiidae) to test the occurrence and group size of kleptoparasites in natural populations. Our partial least-squares path modelling (PLS-PM) results demonstrated that the size of the host web (T = 6.890, p = 0.000) is a significant feature affecting group size. The resource size (T = 2.590, p = 0.010) and the microclimate (T = 3.230, p = 0.001) are significant features affecting the presence of kleptoparasites. The test of conformation of group size distribution to the ideal free distribution (IFD) model revealed that predictions pertaining to per-capita resource size were underestimated (bootstrap resampling mean slopes <IFD predicted slopes, p < 0.001). These findings highlight the importance of applying appropriate ML methods to the handling of missing field data.