Smuggling Illegal versus Legal Goods across the US-Mexico Border: A Structural Equations Model Approach

被引：12

作者：

Buehn, Andreas ^{[1
]}

Eichler, Stefan ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Tech Univ Dresden, Fac Business & Econ, Chair Econ, D-01062 Dresden, Germany

来源：

SOUTHERN ECONOMIC JOURNAL | 2009年 / 76卷 / 02期

关键词：

PRICE DISPARITY; SHADOW ECONOMY; LABOR-FORCE; TRADE; UNEMPLOYMENT; IMMIGRATION; EMPLOYMENT;

D O I：

10.4284/sej.2009.76.2.328

中图分类号：

F [经济];

学科分类号：

02 ;

摘要：

We study the smuggling of illegal and legal goods across the U.S.-Mexico border from 1975 to 2004. Using a Multiple Indicators Multiple Causes (MIMIC) model we test the microeconomic determinants of both smuggling types and reveal their trends. We find that illegal goods smuggling decreased from $116 billion in 1984 to $27 billion in 2004 as a result of improved labor market conditions in Mexico and intensified U.S. border enforcement. Smuggling legal goods is motivated by tax and tariff evasion. While export misinvoicing fluctuated at low levels, import misinvoicing switched from underinvoicing to overinvoicing after Mexico's accession to the GATT and the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) induced lower tariffs.

引用

页码：328 / 350

页数：23

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