Fuzzy Model for Risks Assessment in a Healthcare Supply Chain

Diabetes is a major health challenge in South East Asia. The disease management require wide spectrum of medicine including oral medicine, insulin and antibiotics; which makes the supply chain complex. The medicine supply chain faces diverse risk in geographically diverse country like India. The disruption due to these risks can be costly; and hospitals aim to minimise these risks. For effective management of these risks, hospitals need a comprehensive method to quantify all of their significant supply chain risks. We worked with a speciality hospital in diabetes-care to map their supply chain for a few representative medicines. The disruption risks accounted in the study are due to supplier bankruptcy, natural disasters and geopolitical events. The study develops, a fuzzy model for risk assessment for the diabetes clinic. The quantification of value- at- risk of a hospital in its supply chain gave them a clearer picture of where hospital needs to focus risk management efforts.