Frequency Domain Tests of Semiparametric Hypotheses for Locally Stationary Processes

被引:14
|
作者
Sergides, Marios [1 ]
Paparoditis, Efstathios [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Cyprus, Dept Math & Stat, CY-1678 Nicosia, Cyprus
关键词
bootstrap; local periodogram; local spectral density; non-parametric estimation; semiparametric models; NONSTATIONARY TIME-SERIES; ADAPTIVE ESTIMATION; MODELS;
D O I
10.1111/j.1467-9469.2009.00652.x
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
Many time series in applied sciences obey a time-varying spectral structure. In this article, we focus on locally stationary processes and develop tests of the hypothesis that the time-varying spectral density has a semiparametric structure, including the interesting case of a time-varying autoregressive moving-average (tvARMA) model. The test introduced is based on a L-2-distance measure of a kernel smoothed version of the local periodogram rescaled by the time-varying spectral density of the estimated semiparametric model. The asymptotic distribution of the test statistic under the null hypothesis is derived. As an interesting special case, we focus on the problem of testing for the presence of a tvAR model. A semiparametric bootstrap procedure to approximate more accurately the distribution of the test statistic under the null hypothesis is proposed. Some simulations illustrate the behaviour of our testing methodology in finite sample situations.
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页码:800 / 821
页数:22
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