Building Load Forecasting Using Deep Neural Network with Efficient Feature Fusion

被引:37
|
作者
Wang, Jinsong [1 ]
Chen, Xuhui [2 ]
Zhang, Fan [1 ]
Chen, Fangxi [3 ]
Xin, Yi [3 ]
机构
[1] Case Western Reserve Univ, Dept Elect Comp & Syst Engn, Cleveland, OH 44106 USA
[2] Kent State Univ, Coll Aeronaut & Engn, Kent, OH 44242 USA
[3] Northeastern Univ, Software Coll, Shenyang, Peoples R China
关键词
Load modeling; Forecasting; Load forecasting; Buildings; Predictive models; Feature extraction; Energy consumption; deep learning; convolutional neural network; feature fusion; ResNet; SUPPORT VECTOR REGRESSION; ENERGY-CONSUMPTION; MANAGEMENT;
D O I
10.35833/MPCE.2020.000321
中图分类号
TM [电工技术]; TN [电子技术、通信技术];
学科分类号
0808 ; 0809 ;
摘要
The energy consumption of buildings has risen steadily in recent years. It is vital for the managers and owners of the building to manage the electric energy demand of the buildings. Forecasting electric energy consumption of the buildings will bring great profits, which is influenced by many factors that make it very difficult to provide an advanced forecasting. Recently, deep learning techniques are widely adopted to solve this problem. Deep neural network offers an excellent capability in handling complex non-linear relationships and competence in exploring regular patterns and uncertainties of consumption behaviors at the building level. In this paper, we propose a deep convolutional neural network based on ResNet for hour-ahead building load forecasting. In addition, we design a branch that integrates the temperature per hour into the forecasting branch. To enhance the learning capability of the model, an innovative feature fusion is presented. At last, sufficient ablation studies are conducted on the point forecasting, probabilistic forecasting, fusion method, and computation efficiency. The results show that the proposed model has the state-of-the-art performance, which reflects a promising prospect in application of the electricity market.
引用
收藏
页码:160 / 169
页数:10
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