Self-organizing Ising model of financial markets

被引:112
|
作者
Zhou, W. -X. [1 ]
Sornette, D.
机构
[1] E China Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Business, Shanghai 200237, Peoples R China
[2] E China Univ Sci & Technol, Res Ctr Syst Engn, Shanghai 200237, Peoples R China
[3] ETH, Dept Management Technol & Econ, CH-8032 Zurich, Switzerland
来源
EUROPEAN PHYSICAL JOURNAL B | 2007年 / 55卷 / 02期
关键词
D O I
10.1140/epjb/e2006-00391-6
中图分类号
O469 [凝聚态物理学];
学科分类号
070205 ;
摘要
We study a dynamical Ising-like model of agents' opinions (buy or sell) with learning, in which the coupling coefficients are re-assessed continuously in time according to how past external news (time-varying magnetic field) have explained realized market returns. By combining herding, the impact of external news and private information, we find that the stylized facts of financial markets are reproduced only when agents misattribute the success of news to predict return to herding effects, thereby providing positive feedbacks leading to the model functioning close to the Ising critical point.
引用
收藏
页码:175 / 181
页数:7
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