COVID-19: how much unemployment was caused by the shutdown in Germany?

被引：77

作者：

Bauer, Anja ^{[1
]}

Weber, Enzo ^{[1
,2
]}

机构：

[1] Inst Employment Res, Dept Forecasts & Macroecon Anal, Nurnberg, Germany

[2] Univ Regensburg, Chair Empir Econ, Regensburg, Germany

来源：

APPLIED ECONOMICS LETTERS | 2021年 / 28卷 / 12期

关键词：

COVID-19; treatment effect; unemployment;

D O I：

10.1080/13504851.2020.1789544

中图分类号：

F [经济];

学科分类号：

02 ;

摘要：

This paper evaluates the short-term labour market impact of the COVID-19 containment measures in Germany. By assessing the treatment effect on unemployment via difference-in-difference estimation, we find that 60% of the considerably increased inflows from employment into unemployment in April 2020 were due to the shutdown measures. Disentangling further, we find that the hiring margin accounted for additional 82% of the unemployment effect coming from the separations margin. In sum, the shutdown measures increased unemployment in the short run by 117,000 persons.

引用

页码：1053 / 1058

页数：6

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