Defining limits: Energy constrained economic growth

被引：32
|
作者：
Nel, Willem P. [1 ]
van Zyl, Gerhardus [1 ]
机构：
[1] Univ Johannesburg, Dept Econ & Econometr, ZA-2022 Cleveland, South Africa
来源：
APPLIED ENERGY | 2010年 / 87卷 / 01期
关键词：
Economic growth; Energy; Energy efficiency; Decoupling; Peak Oil; CONSUMPTION; EFFICIENCY;
D O I：
10.1016/j.apenergy.2009.06.003
中图分类号：
TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];
学科分类号：
0807 ; 0820 ;
摘要：
The historical and deductive merits for an explicit energy-based economic growth formulation are presented. Parameters in the formulation are successfully calibrated to empirical data and a range of forecasts is made for global economic growth potential to 2050, based on a plausible case of energy availability. The results demonstrate the vital importance of energy security and lead to the conclusion that the current socio-economic paradigm may not be sustainable. (C) 2009 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码：168 / 177
页数：10
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