Political uncertainty, COVID-19 pandemic and stock market volatility transmission

被引:23
|
作者
Apostolakis, George N. [1 ]
Floros, Christos [1 ]
Gkillas, Konstantinos [2 ]
Wohar, Mark [3 ]
机构
[1] Hellen Mediterranean Univ, Sch Management & Econ Sci SEDO, Dept Accounting & Finance, Lab Accounting & Financial Management LAFLM, Iraklion 71500, Greece
[2] Univ Patras, Dept Management Sci & Technol, Megalou Aleksandrou 1, Patras 26334, Greece
[3] Univ Nebraska, Coll Business Adm, 6708 Pine St, Omaha, NE 68182 USA
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
Asymmetric effects; Volatility spillovers; GARCH; Volatility impulse responses; Futures; VECM; INDEX FUTURES; POLICY UNCERTAINTY; IMPLIED VOLATILITY; PRICE DISCOVERY; COINTEGRATION; SPILLOVERS; EFFICIENCY; RETURNS; MODELS; IMPACT;
D O I
10.1016/j.intfin.2021.101383
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
News about referendums and the ongoing evolution of a global contagious increase uncertainty about the development of economic fundamentals reflected by increased volatility in the financial markets. In this paper, employing volatility impulse response functions and assessing the volatility spillovers we examine intra-market volatility transmission in the Athens stock market. We employ a large sample period of daily data that spans from December 1999 to December 2020 and captures major events of the last 20 years especially related to the announcement of the two referendums during the Greek government-debt crisis in 2010 and the economic and political turmoil that increased country instability, the following years, the BREXIT referendum and the COVID-19 pandemic of 2020. Our results demonstrate that negative shocks during the announcement of the referendum produce larger impulse responses than during the announcement of the country lockdowns. Furthermore, we shed light on the existence of the dynamic relationship of volatility spillovers. Volatility spillovers peaked during the COVID-19 pandemic. Dynamic spillover plots demonstrate that during the COVID-19 pandemic, more volatility is transmitted by mid cap firms to large cap firms. Our findings have implications to market participants, policy makers and market regulators.
引用
收藏
页数:17
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