Dynamic Modeling of Interregional Migration Processes in the Ural Federal District (Russia)

被引：0
|
作者：
Nikonov, Oleg I. [1 ]
Tarasiev, Alexader A. [2 ]
机构：
[1] Ural Fed Univ, Dept Syst Anal & Decis Making, Ekaterinburg 620002, Russia
[2] Russian Acad Sci, Ural Branch, Inst Econ, Ctr Econ Secur, Ekaterinburg, Russia
来源：
PROCEEDINGS OF THE INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE OF NUMERICAL ANALYSIS AND APPLIED MATHEMATICS 2014 (ICNAAM-2014) | 2015年 / 1648卷
关键词：
interregional migration processes; mathematical modeling; unemployment and vacancies forecast; ILLEGAL IMMIGRATION;
D O I：
10.1063/1.4912380
中图分类号：
O29 [应用数学];
学科分类号：
070104 ;
摘要：
The article presents a dynamic model, that describes the dynamics of interregional labor force movement in continues time. Modification of this model allows to explain the dynamics of migration processes and their effects on regional economics both for regions of origin and attraction. The result of migration modeling in conditions of a closed system is presented on a graph and makes it possible to trace dependency between salaries levels, total labor force and the number of vacancies and unemployed people in several regions. Further research is planned to develop a model in terms of constructing unemployment and vacancies forecast.
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页数：3
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