California;
renewable energy;
risk analysis;
systems engineering;
wind power generation;
POWER;
D O I:
10.1109/TPWRS.2011.2118239
中图分类号:
TM [电工技术];
TN [电子技术、通信技术];
学科分类号:
0808 ;
0809 ;
摘要:
As compared to load demand, frequent wind energy intermittencies produce large short-term (sub 1-h to 3-h) deficits (and surpluses) in the energy supply. These intermittent deficits pose systemic and structural risks that will likely lead to energy deficits that have significant reliability implications for energy system operators and consumers. This work provides a toolset to help policy makers quantify these first-order risks. The thinking methodology/framework shows that increasing wind energy penetration significantly increases the risk of loss in California. In addition, the work presents holistic risk tables as a general innovation to help decision makers quickly grasp the full impact of risk.
机构:
Wuhan Univ, Sch Elect Informat, Wuhan, Peoples R ChinaWuhan Univ, Sch Elect Informat, Wuhan, Peoples R China
Wu, Honghong
Huang, Shiyong
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h-index: 0
机构:
Wuhan Univ, Sch Elect Informat, Wuhan, Peoples R ChinaWuhan Univ, Sch Elect Informat, Wuhan, Peoples R China
Huang, Shiyong
Wang, Xin
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Beihang Univ, Sch Space & Environm, Beihang, Peoples R ChinaWuhan Univ, Sch Elect Informat, Wuhan, Peoples R China
Wang, Xin
Yang, Liping
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Chinese Acad Sci, Natl Space Sci Ctr, State Key Lab Space Weather, SIGMA Weather Grp, Beijing, Peoples R ChinaWuhan Univ, Sch Elect Informat, Wuhan, Peoples R China
Yang, Liping
Yuan, Zhigang
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Wuhan Univ, Sch Elect Informat, Wuhan, Peoples R ChinaWuhan Univ, Sch Elect Informat, Wuhan, Peoples R China
机构:
Univ Colorado, Dept Econ, Boulder, CO 80309 USA
Univ Colorado, Renewable & Sustainable Energy Inst, Boulder, CO 80309 USAUniv Colorado, Dept Econ, Boulder, CO 80309 USA
Kaffine, Daniel T.
McBee, Brannin J.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Windy Bay Power, Portland, OR USAUniv Colorado, Dept Econ, Boulder, CO 80309 USA
McBee, Brannin J.
Ericson, Sean J.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Colorado, Dept Econ, Boulder, CO 80309 USAUniv Colorado, Dept Econ, Boulder, CO 80309 USA
机构:
Grenoble Applied Economic Laboratory, INRAE, CNRS, University Grenoble Alpes, FranceGrenoble Applied Economic Laboratory, INRAE, CNRS, University Grenoble Alpes, France
Ekoue, Maurice K.
Woerman, Matt
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Colorado State University, United StatesGrenoble Applied Economic Laboratory, INRAE, CNRS, University Grenoble Alpes, France
Woerman, Matt
Clastres, Cédric
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Grenoble Applied Economic Laboratory, INRAE, CNRS, University Grenoble Alpes, FranceGrenoble Applied Economic Laboratory, INRAE, CNRS, University Grenoble Alpes, France