Comparison of Near Neighbour and Neural Network in Travel Forecasting

被引：14

作者：

Olmedo, Elena ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Seville, Dept Econ Aplicada 1, Avda Ramon & Cajal 1, Seville 41018, Spain

来源：

JOURNAL OF FORECASTING | 2016年 / 35卷 / 03期

关键词：

forecasting; neural networks; reconstruction; travel; nonlinearity; TOURISM DEMAND; MEASUREMENT ERROR; TIME-SERIES; CHAOS; MODEL; ARRIVALS;

D O I：

10.1002/for.2370

中图分类号：

F [经济];

学科分类号：

02 ;

摘要：

In this paper we confirm the existence of nonlinear dynamics in a time series of airport arrivals. We subsequently propose alternative non-parametric forecasting techniques to be used in a travel forecasting problem, emphasizing the difference between the reconstruction and learning approach. We compare the results achieved in point prediction versus sign prediction. The reconstruction approach offers better results in sign prediction and the learning approach in point prediction. Copyright (c) 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

引用

页码：217 / 223

页数：7

共 50 条

[1] Forecasting travel demand: a comparison of logit and artificial neural network methods
de Carvalho, MCM
Dougherty, MS
Fowkes, AS
Wardman, MR
[J]. JOURNAL OF THE OPERATIONAL RESEARCH SOCIETY, 1998, 49 (07) : 717 - 722
[2] Forecasting Spanish Unemployment Using Near Neighbour and Neural Net Techniques
Elena Olmedo
[J]. Computational Economics, 2014, 43 : 183 - 197
[3] Forecasting Spanish Unemployment Using Near Neighbour and Neural Net Techniques
Olmedo, Elena
[J]. COMPUTATIONAL ECONOMICS, 2014, 43 (02) : 183 - 197
[4] A Comparison on Neural Network Forecasting
Ong, Hong-Choon
Chan, Shin-Yue
[J]. CIRCUITS, SYSTEM AND SIMULATION, 2011, 7 : 56 - 60
[5] Neural network model for rapid forecasting of freeway link travel time
Dharia, A
Adeli, H
[J]. ENGINEERING APPLICATIONS OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE, 2003, 16 (7-8) : 607 - 613
[6] Weather-dependent road travel time forecasting using a neural network
Ghiani, G.
Gulli, D.
Mari, F.
Simino, R.
Trunfio, R.
[J]. URBAN TRANSPORT XIV: URBAN TRANSPORT AND THE ENVIRONMENT IN THE 21ST CENTURY, 2008, 101 : 505 - 514
[7] A framework for neighbour links travel time estimation in an urban network
El Esawey, Mohamed
Sayed, Tarek
[J]. TRANSPORTATION PLANNING AND TECHNOLOGY, 2012, 35 (03) : 281 - 301
[8] A Comparison of Neural Network Backpropagation Algorithms for Electricity Load Forecasting
Pan, Xinxing
Lee, Brian
Zhang, Chunrong
[J]. 2013 IEEE INTERNATIONAL WORKSHOP ON INTELLIGENT ENERGY SYSTEMS (IWIES), 2013, : 22 - 27
[9] Forecasting of Coal Consumption Using an Artificial Neural Network and Comparison with Various Forecasting Techniques
Jebaraj, S.
Iniyan, S.
Goic, R.
[J]. ENERGY SOURCES PART A-RECOVERY UTILIZATION AND ENVIRONMENTAL EFFECTS, 2011, 33 (14) : 1305 - 1316
[10] A comparison between neural-network forecasting techniques - Case study: River flow forecasting
Atiya, AF
El-Shoura, SM
Shaheen, SI
El-Sherif, MS
[J]. IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON NEURAL NETWORKS, 1999, 10 (02): : 402 - 409

← 1 2 3 4 5 →