Modelling the transmission dynamics of meticillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus in Beijing Tongren hospital

被引:28
|
作者
Wang, J. [2 ]
Wang, L. [1 ]
Magal, P. [3 ,4 ]
Wang, Y. [5 ]
Zhuo, J. [6 ]
Lu, X. [2 ]
Ruan, S. [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Miami, Dept Math, Coral Gables, FL 33124 USA
[2] Capital Med Univ, Beijing Tongren Hosp, Clin Lab, Beijing, Peoples R China
[3] Univ Bordeaux, UMR CNRS 5251, Inst Math Bordeaux, Bordeaux, France
[4] Univ Bordeaux, INRIA Sud Ouest Anubis, Bordeaux, France
[5] Capital Med Univ, Beijing Tongren Hosp, Emergency Ward, Beijing, Peoples R China
[6] Capital Med Univ, Beijing Tongren Hosp, Resp Intens Care Unit, Beijing, Peoples R China
基金
美国国家卫生研究院; 中国国家自然科学基金; 美国国家科学基金会;
关键词
Meticillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus; Mathematical modelling; Volunteers; Transmission dynamics; Basic reproduction number; INTENSIVE-CARE-UNIT; METHICILLIN-RESISTANT; RISK-FACTORS; IMPACT; COMMUNITY; MRSA; BACTEREMIA; MORTALITY; STRAINS;
D O I
10.1016/j.jhin.2011.08.019
中图分类号
R1 [预防医学、卫生学];
学科分类号
1004 ; 120402 ;
摘要
Semi-professional volunteers work in many tertiary care hospitals in China as healthcare assistants. Proper infection control measures are needed to reduce nosocomial transmission involving volunteers. A compartmental model was constructed to describe the transmission characteristics of meticillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) in the emergency ward (EW) and respiratory intensive care unit (RICU) for volunteers in Beijing Tongren Hospital, Beijing, China. The model consists of components describing uncolonized and colonized patients, uncontaminated and contaminated healthcare workers (HCWs), and uncontaminated and contaminated volunteers. The basic reproduction number (R(0)) was calculated, and the dependence of R(0) on various model parameters was analysed. Moreover, simulations of the model were performed for comparision with the reported data on the numbers of colonized patients in the EW and RICU from 3 March 2009 to 28 February 2010, respectively. Sensitivity analysis of R(0) showed that increasing handwashing compliance among HCWs and volunteers would reduce the risk of transmission dramatically. As volunteers care for patients on a one-to-one basis, this study showed that the number of MRSA-positive patients would increase if volunteers were replaced by HCWs. Therefore, in addition to improving hand hygiene among HCWs, the employment of properly trained volunteers is an attractive alternative to decrease MRSA and other multi-drug resistant bacteria infections in the hospital setting. (C) 2011 The Healthcare Infection Society. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:302 / 308
页数:7
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