Prediction of the carcinogenicity of a second group of organic chemicals undergoing carcinogenicity testing

被引:56
|
作者
Zhang, YP
Sussman, N
Macina, OT
Rosenkranz, HS
Klopman, G
机构
[1] UNIV PITTSBURGH, DEPT ENVIRONM & OCCUPAT HLTH, PITTSBURGH, PA 15238 USA
[2] CASE WESTERN RESERVE UNIV, DEPT CHEM, CLEVELAND, OH 44106 USA
关键词
CASE; MULTICASE; Bayes' Theorem; NTP predictions;
D O I
10.2307/3433029
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Twenty-four organic compounds currently undergoing testing within cancer bioassays under the aegis of the U.S. National Toxicology Program (NTP) were submitted to the computer automated structure evaluation (CASE) and multiple computer automated structure evaluation (MULTICASE) system for predictions of activity. Individual predictions resulting from the NTP combined rodent, NTP mouse, Carcinogenic Potency Database (CPDB) combined rodent, and CPDB mouse databases were combined using Bayes' theorem to yield an overall probability of rodent carcinogenicity. Based upon an arbitrary probability cut-off of 0.50, nine compounds were predicted to be rodent carcinogens. The predicted carcinogens are chloroprene, 1-chloro-2-propanol, codeine, emodin, furfuryl alcohol, isobutyraldehyde, primaclone, sodium xylenesulfonate, and t-butylhydroquinone.
引用
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页码:1045 / 1050
页数:6
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