Irreversible investment and R&D spillovers in a dynamic duopoly

被引:14
|
作者
Femminis, Gianluca [1 ]
Martini, Gianmaria [2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Cattolica Milano, ITEMQ, I-20123 Milan, Italy
[2] Univ Bergamo, Dept Econ & Technol Management, I-24044 Dalmine, Italy
来源
关键词
Irreversible investment; Knowledge spillover; Dynamic oligopoly; REAL OPTIONS; TECHNOLOGY; ADOPTION; UNCERTAINTY; COMPETITION; PREEMPTION; OLIGOPOLY; PATENTS; COSTS;
D O I
10.1016/j.jedc.2011.03.005
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Investments in new production processes usually involve a significant amount of R&D, generating spillovers that lowers the second corner's investment cost. We show that these spillovers substantially affect the equilibrium of the dynamic game. Even for low spillover values, the leader delays her investment until the stochastic fundamental has gone past the level such that the follower's optimal strategy is to invest as soon as he attains the spillover. This bears several interesting implications. First, because the follower invests as he benefits from the spillover, in equilibrium the average time delay between the two investments is short, as it should be expected. Second, in case of a major innovation, an optimal public policy requires an intervention in favor of the investment activity; an increase in uncertainty - delaying the equilibrium - calls for higher subsidization rates. Third, numerical simulations show that the spillover reduces the difference between the leader's and the follower's maximum value functions. Accordingly, our model can help generate realistic market betas. (C) 2011 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:1061 / 1090
页数:30
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