An improved quantum clustering algorithm with weighted distance based on PSO and research on the prediction of electrical power demand

被引:4
|
作者
Fan Decheng [1 ]
Song Zhilong [1 ]
Jon Song [2 ]
JuHyok, U. [3 ]
机构
[1] Harbin Engn Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Harbin 150001, Peoples R China
[2] Univ Sci, Dept Phys, Pyongyang, South Korea
[3] Kim Chaek Univ Technol, Dept Phys, Pyongyang, South Korea
关键词
Particle swarm optimization; weighted distance; quantum cluster; electric power demand; prediction; ENERGY-CONSUMPTION; GREY PREDICTION; MODEL; OPTIMIZATION; METHODOLOGY;
D O I
10.3233/JIFS-191325
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
The ability to accurately and reliably predict annual electricity demand is essential in modern society for effective planning, economic development, and to ensure the sustainability of the electricity supply. Considering the correlation between annual electricity demand and economic development, as well as annual electricity demand under low-carbon-economy targets, this paper proposes an improved quantum clustering algorithm (particle swarm optimization-weighted distance quantum clustering, PSO-WDQC) as a power demand forecasting model. This method can not only improve the accuracy of predictions but also accurately evaluate the economic development of a region. To demonstrate this ability, the paper applies the proposed method to low-dimensional Iris data as well as high-dimensional Wine data in order to verify the effectiveness of the method. Then, the method is combined with ridge regression to predict the demand for electricity under the low-carbon-economy target of China. The experimental results show that the method can accurately predict annual power demand with a relative error of 0.1674%. Moreover, the model accurately reflects that the Chinese economy has entered a new normal state since 2012, meaning that the economic growth rate has changed from high-speed to medium-high-speed.
引用
收藏
页码:2359 / 2367
页数:9
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