Objective and subjective prior distributions for the Gompertz distribution

被引:1
|
作者
Moala, Fernando A. [1 ]
Dey, Sanku [2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Estadual Paulista, UNESP, Fac Ciencias & Tecnol, Dept Estat,Ctr Educ, Rua Roberto Simonsen 305, BR-19060900 Presidente Prudente, SP, Brazil
[2] St Anthonys Coll, Dept Stat, Bomfyle Rd,East Khasi Hills, Shillong 793001, Meghalayn, India
来源
关键词
Gompertz distribution; objective prior; Jeffreys prior; subjective prior; maximal data information prior; elicitation; PARAMETER; STATISTICS; INFERENCE; CURVE; MODEL;
D O I
10.1590/0001-3765201820171040
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
This paper takes into account the estimation for the unknown parameters of the Gompertz distribution from the frequentist and Bayesian view points by using both objective and subjective prior distributions. We first derive non-informative priors using formal rules, such as Jefreys prior and maximal data information prior (MDIP), based on Fisher information and entropy, respectively. We also propose a prior distribution that incorporate the expert's knowledge about the issue under study. In this regard, we assume two independent gamma distributions for the parameters of the Gompertz distribution and it is employed for an elicitation process based on the predictive prior distribution by using Laplace approximation for integrals. We suppose that an expert can summarize his/her knowledge about the reliability of an item through statements of percentiles. We also present a set of priors proposed by Singpurwala assuming a truncated normal prior distribution for the median of distribution and a gamma prior for the scale parameter. Next, we investigate the effects of these priors in the posterior estimates of the parameters of the Gompertz distribution. The Bayes estimates are computed using Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm. An extensive numerical simulation is carried out to evaluate the performance of the maximum likelihood estimates and Bayes estimates based on bias, mean-squared error and coverage probabilities. Finally, a real data set have been analyzed for illustrative purposes.
引用
收藏
页码:2643 / 2661
页数:19
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