decision making;
choice behavior;
time discounting;
optimism;
D O I:
10.1016/S0001-6918(01)00029-4
中图分类号:
B84 [心理学];
学科分类号:
04 ;
0402 ;
摘要:
The present research examines the role of optimism on time preferences for both losses and gains. It is argued that optimism has asymmetric effects on time preferences for gains versus losses: one reason why decision makers prefer immediate gains is because they are optimistic that these gains will be followed by additional gains in future. In contrast, decision makers prefer to delay losses because they are optimistic that losses are avoidable in the future. Optimism about outcomes affects time preferences for both gains and losses, such that low optimism reduces the discount rates while increased optimism is associated with higher discount rates. This prediction was supported in two different domains: monetary outcomes (Study 1), and health (Study 2). Implications of these results for both research practice and time preferences in the real world are discussed. (C) 2001 Elsevier Science B.V, All rights reserved.
机构:
London Sch Econ & Polit Sci, Grantham Res Inst Climate Change & Environm, Houghton St, London WC2A 2AE, EnglandLondon Sch Econ & Polit Sci, Grantham Res Inst Climate Change & Environm, Houghton St, London WC2A 2AE, England
Miliner, Antony
Heal, Geoffrey
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机构:
Columbia Univ, Columbia Business Sch, 3022 Broadway, New York, NY 10027 USA
NBER, Cambridge, MA 02138 USALondon Sch Econ & Polit Sci, Grantham Res Inst Climate Change & Environm, Houghton St, London WC2A 2AE, England
机构:
Univ Tokyo, Sch Arts & Sci, Dept Life Sci, Unit Cognit & Behav Sci,Meguro Ku, Tokyo 1538902, JapanUniv Tokyo, Sch Arts & Sci, Dept Life Sci, Unit Cognit & Behav Sci,Meguro Ku, Tokyo 1538902, Japan
Takahashi, Taiki
Oono, Hidemi
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机构:
Hokkaido Univ, Fac Letters, Dept Behav Sci, Kita Ku, Sapporo, Hokkaido 0600810, JapanUniv Tokyo, Sch Arts & Sci, Dept Life Sci, Unit Cognit & Behav Sci,Meguro Ku, Tokyo 1538902, Japan
Oono, Hidemi
Radford, Mark H. B.
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h-index: 0
机构:
Hokkaido Univ, Fac Letters, Dept Behav Sci, Kita Ku, Sapporo, Hokkaido 0600810, JapanUniv Tokyo, Sch Arts & Sci, Dept Life Sci, Unit Cognit & Behav Sci,Meguro Ku, Tokyo 1538902, Japan