On the stochastic SIS epidemic model in a periodic environment

被引:14
|
作者
Bacaer, Nicolas [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] IRD, UMMISCO, Bondy, France
[2] Univ Paris 06, UMMISCO, Paris, France
关键词
Hamilton-Jacobi equation; Epidemic model; Extinction; Periodic environment; BEHAVIOR;
D O I
10.1007/s00285-014-0828-1
中图分类号
Q [生物科学];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
In the stochastic SIS epidemic model with a contact rate , a recovery rate , and a population size , the mean extinction time is such that converges to as grows to infinity. This article considers the more realistic case where the contact rate is a periodic function whose average is bigger than . Then converges to a new limit , which is linked to a time-periodic Hamilton-Jacobi equation. When is a cosine function with small amplitude or high (resp. low) frequency, approximate formulas for can be obtained analytically following the method used in Assaf et al. (Phys Rev E 78:041123, 2008). These results are illustrated by numerical simulations.
引用
收藏
页码:491 / 511
页数:21
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