Short-term Load Forecasting of Power Grid Based on Multivariate Empirical Mode Decomposition and Genetic Algorithm Optimization BP Neural Network

被引:1
|
作者
Kong, Qi [1 ]
Yu, Qun [1 ]
机构
[1] Shandong Univ Sci & Technol, Coll Elect Engn & Automat, Qingdao, Peoples R China
关键词
short-term load forecasting; multivariate empirical mode decomposition; genetic algorithm; BP neural network; intrinsic mode functions;
D O I
10.1109/CAC51589.2020.9326601
中图分类号
TP [自动化技术、计算机技术];
学科分类号
0812 ;
摘要
In order to make short-term load forecasting of power grid more accurately, a new combination model of power system short-term load forecasting is proposed. This model combines multivariate empirical mode decomposition with the BP neural network optimized by genetic algorithm. First, it uses multivariate empirical mode decomposition to decompose the power load sequence and important influencing factors sequence into the same number of sub-sequences at the same time, and then import them into the GABP model for prediction and get the final prediction result. Taking the instantaneous load of a city power grid in Shandong Province in August 2019 as the research object, and considering the influence of instantaneous temperature, humidity, atmospheric pressure, precipitation, wind speed and other factors recorded by meteorological data, the established model is simulated and analyzed, and the load value of 24 hours on August 31, 2019 is compared with the predicted effect. The simulation results indicate that the prediction model has high precision, which proves its feasibility.
引用
收藏
页码:807 / 812
页数:6
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] Short-Term Power Load Forecasting Based on Empirical Mode Decomposition and Deep Neural Network
    Cheng, Limin
    Bao, Yuqing
    [J]. PROCEEDINGS OF 2019 INTERNATIONAL FORUM ON SMART GRID PROTECTION AND CONTROL (PURPLE MOUNTAIN FORUM), VOL II, 2020, 585 : 757 - 768
  • [2] Research on BP Neural Network Algorithm Based on Genetic Algorithm Optimization in Short-Term Power Generation Forecasting
    Zhao, Jianna
    He, Xiaobo
    [J]. PROCEEDINGS OF THE 2016 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON EDUCATION, MANAGEMENT SCIENCE AND ECONOMICS (ICEMSE 2016), 2016, 65 : 359 - 362
  • [3] Research on Short-Term Load Forecasting Based on Adaptive Hybrid Genetic Optimization BP Neural Network Algorithm
    Pang Nan-sheng
    Shi Ying-ling
    [J]. 2008 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON MANAGEMENT SCIENCE & ENGINEERING (15TH), VOLS I AND II, CONFERENCE PROCEEDINGS, 2008, : 1563 - 1568
  • [4] Short-term power load forecasting based on empirical mode decomposition and ANN
    Zheng, Lian-Qing
    Zheng, Yan-Qiu
    [J]. Dianli Xitong Baohu yu Kongzhi/Power System Protection and Control, 2009, 37 (23): : 66 - 69
  • [5] A Short-term Power Load Forecasting Method Based on BP Neural Network
    Li, Lingjuan
    Huang, Wen
    [J]. CURRENT DEVELOPMENT OF MECHANICAL ENGINEERING AND ENERGY, PTS 1 AND 2, 2014, 494-495 : 1647 - 1650
  • [6] Short-term Load Forecasting Based on BP Neural Network
    Li Yan-bin
    Li Peng
    Li Guan-hong
    [J]. ICPOM2008: PROCEEDINGS OF 2008 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE OF PRODUCTION AND OPERATION MANAGEMENT, VOLUMES 1-3, 2008, : 1182 - 1186
  • [7] Short-term Electric Load Forecasting Based on Wavelet Neural Network, Particle Swarm Optimization and Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition
    Lopez, Cristian
    Zhong, Wei
    Zheng, MengLian
    [J]. 8TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON APPLIED ENERGY (ICAE2016), 2017, 105 : 3677 - 3682
  • [8] Short-term load forecasting of power system based on improved bp neural network
    Li, Sufen
    [J]. International Journal of Circuits, Systems and Signal Processing, 2020, 14 : 840 - 846
  • [9] A Forecasting Method of Short-Term Electric Power Load Based on BP Neural Network
    Bin, Hou
    Zu, Yunxiao
    Zhang, Chao
    [J]. MECHANICAL, ELECTRONIC AND ENGINEERING TECHNOLOGIES (ICMEET 2014), 2014, 538 : 247 - 250
  • [10] SHORT-TERM PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER FORECASTING BASED ON MULTIVARIATE VARIATIONAL MODE DECOMPOSITION AND HYBRID DEEP NEURAL NETWORK
    Guo, Wei
    Sun, Shengbo
    Tao, Peng
    Xu, Jianyun
    Bai, Xinlei
    [J]. Taiyangneng Xuebao/Acta Energiae Solaris Sinica, 2024, 45 (04): : 489 - 499