district heating;
consumption;
climate;
modelling;
grey-box;
D O I:
10.1016/j.enbuild.2005.05.002
中图分类号:
TU [建筑科学];
学科分类号:
0813 ;
摘要:
The heat consumption in a large geographical area is considered together with climate measurements on a single location in the area. The purpose is to identify a model linking the heat consumption to climate and calendar information. The process of building a model is split into a theoretical based identification of an overall model structure followed by data-based modelling, whereby the details of the model are identified. This approach is sometimes called grey-box modelling, but the specific approach used here does not require states to be specified. Overall, the paper demonstrates the power of the grey-box approach. (c) 2005 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.