Heart failure prognosis over time: how the prognostic role of oxygen consumption and ventilatory efficiency during exercise has changed in the last 20 years

被引:68
|
作者
Paolillo, Stefania [1 ]
Veglia, Fabrizio [2 ]
Salvioni, Elisabetta [2 ]
Corra, Ugo [3 ]
Piepoli, Massimo [4 ]
Lagioia, Rocco [5 ]
Limongelli, Giuseppe [6 ]
Sinagra, Gianfranco [7 ]
Cattadori, Gaia [8 ]
Scardovi, Angela B. [9 ]
Metra, Marco [10 ]
Senni, Michele [11 ]
Bonomi, Alice [2 ]
Scrutinio, Domenico [5 ]
Raimondo, Rosa [12 ]
Emdin, Michele [13 ,14 ]
Magri, Damiano [15 ]
Parati, Gianfranco [16 ,17 ]
Re, Federica [18 ,19 ]
Cicoira, Mariantonietta [20 ]
Mina, Chiara [21 ]
Correale, Michele [22 ]
Frigerio, Maria [23 ]
Bussotti, Maurizio [24 ]
Battaia, Elisa [25 ]
Guazzi, Marco [26 ,27 ]
Badagliacca, Roberto [28 ]
Di Lenarda, Andrea [29 ,30 ]
Maggioni, Aldo [31 ]
Passino, Claudio [13 ,14 ]
Sciomer, Susanna [28 ]
Pacileo, Giuseppe [6 ]
Mapelli, Massimo [2 ]
Vignati, Carlo [2 ]
Clemenza, Francesco [21 ]
Binno, Simone [4 ]
Lombardi, Carlo [10 ]
Filardi, Pasquale Perrone [1 ]
Agostoni, Piergiuseppe [2 ,32 ]
Apostolo, Anna [2 ]
Palermo, Pietro [2 ]
Contini, Mauro [2 ]
Farina, Stefania [2 ]
Mantegazza, Valentina [2 ]
Spadafora, Emanuele [2 ]
Lattarulo, Maria Silvia [2 ]
Giordano, Andrea [33 ]
Mezzani, Alessandro [33 ]
Ricci, Roberto [34 ]
Ferraironi, Alessandro [34 ,35 ]
机构
[1] Federico II Univ Naples, Dept Adv Biomed Sci, Naples, Italy
[2] IRCCS, Ctr Cardiol Monzino, Via Parea 4, I-20138 Milan, Italy
[3] IRCCS, Sci Inst Veruno, Salvatore Maugeri Fdn, Div Cardiac Rehabil, Veruno, Italy
[4] G de Saliceto Hosp, Div Cardiol, Piacenza, Italy
[5] IRCCS, Sci Inst Cassano Murge, Salvatore Maugeri Fdn, Div Cardiol, Bari, Italy
[6] Univ Naples 2, Monaldi Hosp, Azienda Colli, Cardiol SUN, Naples, Italy
[7] Osped Riuniti & Univ Trieste, Cardiovasc Dept, Trieste, Italy
[8] Multimed IRCCS, Div Cardiac Rehabil, Milan, Italy
[9] Santo Spirito Hosp, Cardiol Div, Rome, Italy
[10] Univ Brescia, Dept Med & Surg Specialties Radiol Sci & Publ Hlt, Cardiol, Brescia, Italy
[11] Papa Giovanni XXIII Hosp, Heart Failure & Heart Transplant Unit, Dept Cardiol, Bergamo, Italy
[12] IRCCS, Sci Inst Tradate, Salvatore Maugeri Fdn, Tradate, Italy
[13] CNR Reg Toscana, Gabriele Monasterio Fdn, Pisa, Italy
[14] Scuola Super Sant Anna, Life Sci Inst, Pisa, Italy
[15] Sapienza Univ Rome, St Andrea Hosp, Dept Clin & Mol Med, Rome, Italy
[16] Univ Milano Bicocca, Dept Med & Surg, Milan, Italy
[17] San Luca Hosp, Ist Auxol Italiano, Dept Cardiovasc Neural & Metab Sci, Milan, Italy
[18] San Camillo Forlanini Hosp, Cardiac Arrhythmia Ctr, Cardiol Div, Rome, Italy
[19] San Camillo Forlanini Hosp, Cardiomyopathies Unit, Rome, Italy
[20] Univ Verona, Dept Med, Sect Cardiol, Verona, Italy
[21] IRCCS, ISMETT, Dept Treatment & Study Cardiothorac Dis & Cardiot, Palermo, Italy
[22] Univ Foggia, Dept Cardiol, Foggia, Italy
[23] Osped Niguarda Ca Granda, A De Gasperis Cardiol Dept, Milan, Italy
[24] IRCCS, Sci Inst Milan, Salvatore Maugeri Fdn, Cardiac Rehabil Unit, Milan, Italy
[25] Santa Chiara Hosp, Dept Cardiol, Trento, Italy
[26] IRCCS, Policlin San Donato, San Donato Milanese, Cardiol Univ Dept,Heart Failure Unit, Milan, Italy
[27] IRCCS, Policlin San Donato, San Donato Milanese, Cardiopulmonary Lab, Milan, Italy
[28] Sapienza Univ Rome, Dept Cardiovasc Resp Nephrol Anesthesiol & Geriat, Rome, Italy
[29] Hlth Author 1, Cardiovasc Ctr, Trieste, Italy
[30] Univ Trieste, Trieste, Italy
[31] ANMCO Res Ctr, Florence, Italy
[32] Univ Milan, Dept Clin Sci & Community Hlth, Cardiovasc Sect, Milan, Italy
[33] IRCCS, Ist Sci Veruno, Fdn Salvatore Maugeri, Div Cardiol Riabilitat, Veruno, Italy
[34] Santo Spirito Hosp, Heart Failure Unit, Cardiol Univ Dept, Rome, Italy
[35] Santo Spirito Hosp, Cardiopulmonary Lab, Rome, Italy
[36] Azienda Osped Riuniti, Cardiol Riabilitat, Ancona, Italy
[37] Ist Auxol Italiano, Milan, Italy
[38] Osped Monaldi Napoli, Cardiol SUN, Naples, Italy
[39] CNR Milano, Milan, Italy
[40] Ist Clin Sci Maugeri, Cassano Delle Murge, Italy
[41] Ist Clin Sci Maugeri, Tradate, Italy
[42] Osped Riuniti & Univ Trieste, Trieste, Italy
[43] Ist Clin Sci Maugeri, Cardiac Rehabil Unit, Milan, Italy
[44] Osped Papa Giovanni XXIII, Bergamo, Italy
[45] CNR Reg Toscana, Fdn Gabriele Monasterio, Pisa, Italy
[46] Guglielmo da Saliceto Hosp, UOC Cardiol, Piacenza, Italy
[47] Osped Ca Granda AO Niguarda, Dipartimento Cardiol A De Gasperis, Milan, Italy
关键词
Heart failure; Prognosis; Cardiopulmonary exercise test; Peak oxygen uptake; VE/VCO2; slope; CARDIAC TRANSPLANTATION; AMBULATORY PATIENTS; EUROPEAN-SOCIETY; KIDNEY INDEXES; MECKI SCORE; TASK-FORCE; DIAGNOSIS; GUIDELINES; SURVIVAL; COLLABORATION;
D O I
10.1002/ejhf.1364
中图分类号
R5 [内科学];
学科分类号
1002 ; 100201 ;
摘要
Aims Exercise-derived parameters, specifically peak exercise oxygen uptake (peak VO2) and minute ventilation/carbon dioxide relationship slope (VE/VCO2 slope), have a pivotal prognostic value in heart failure (HF). It is unknown how the prognostic threshold of peak VO2 and VE/VCO2 slope has changed over the last 20 years in parallel with HF prognosis improvement. Methods and results Data from 6083 HF patients (81% male, age 61 +/- 13 years), enrolled in the MECKI score database between 1993 and 2015, were retrospectively analysed. By enrolment year, four groups were generated: group 1 1993-2000 (n = 440), group 2 2001-2005 (n = 1288), group 3 2006-2010 (n = 2368), and group 4 2011-2015 (n = 1987). We compared the 10-year survival of groups and analysed how the overall risk (cardiovascular death, urgent heart transplantation, or left ventricular assist device implantation) changed over time according to peak VO2 and VE/VCO2 slope and to major clinical and therapeutic variables. At 10 years, a progressively higher survival from group 1 to group 3 was observed, with no further improvement afterwards. A 20% risk for peak VO2 15 mL/min/kg (95% confidence interval 16-13), 9 (11-8), 4 (4-2) and 5 (7-4) was observed in group 1, 2, 3, and 4, respectively, while the VE/VCO2 slope value for a 20% risk was 32 (37-29), 47 (51-43), 59 (64-55), and 57 (63-52), respectively. Conclusions Heart failure prognosis improved over time up to 2010 in a HF population followed by experienced centres. The peak VO2 and VE/VCO2 slope cut-offs identifying a definite risk progressively decreased and increased over time, respectively. The prognostic threshold of peak VO2 and VE/VCO2 slope must be updated whenever HF prognosis improves.
引用
收藏
页码:208 / 217
页数:10
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