Alternative monetary policy regimes in an oil-exporting economy

被引:1
|
作者
Ghiaie, Hamed [1 ]
Tabarraei, Hamid Reza [2 ]
Tavakolian, Hossein [3 ]
机构
[1] ESCP Business Sch, Econ & Publ Policy, Paris, France
[2] Int Monetary Fund, Washington, DC 20431 USA
[3] Allameh Tabatabai Univ, Tehran, Iran
关键词
Multiple currency practices; CPI and PPI inflation targeting; Monetary policy; FX market;
D O I
10.1016/j.qref.2021.11.003
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
We assess alternative monetary policy regimes including a consumer price index (CPI) and a producer price index (PPI) targeting in a commodity-exporting economy with multiple currency practices (MCPs). Under these regimes, the central bank in our model (i) target the official exchange rate, (ii) target the growth rate of nominal monetary base, and (iii) intervene in the foreign exchange market to control the exchange rate gap. We find that using the PPI as the central bank's target produces less pro-cyclicality compared to monetary regimes with the CPI targeting. In addition, the PPI targeting results in lower welfare losses. We study these regimes under unified and MCPs as a characteristic of some commodity-exporters. We show that with a persistent external shock, MCPs could be effective at best in the short-run, while the aggregate welfare in the long-run can be diminished. We then illustrate that under both unified and MCPs regimes, the PPI targeting regime considerably performs better. Finally, we show that monetary instruments are more effective in the presence of a fiscal rule, based on commodity revenues. (C) 2021 Board of Trustees of the University of Illinois. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:161 / 177
页数:17
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