Hybrid receptor structure/ligand-based docking and activity prediction in ICM: development and evaluation in D3R Grand Challenge 3

In context of D3R Grand Challenge 3 we have investigated several ligand activity prediction protocols that combined elements of a physics-based energy function (ICM VLS score) and the knowledge-based Atomic Property Field 3D QSAR approach. Activity prediction models utilized poses produced by ICM-Dock with ligand bias and 4D receptor conformational ensembles (LigBEnD). Hybrid APF/P (APF/Physics) models were superior to pure physics- or knowledge-based models in our preliminary tests using rigorous three-fold clustered cross-validation and later proved successful in the blind prediction for D3R GC3 sets, consistently performing well across four different targets. The results demonstrate that knowledge-based and physics-based inputs into the machine-learning activity model can be non-redundant and synergistic.